RACastanet wrote:
the hybrid is an interim technology that I do not get excited about.
This is where we disagree. I've been telling you since day one that hybrid technology needs to be mastered before fuel cell vehicles can practically hit the road. Hybrid technology will be an
essential ingredient in practical fuel cell transportation. So far I have been proven correct.
Every single example I've shown you has elements of the hybrid as essential either to the functioning of an all-out hydrogen vehicle or of some permutation of an electric car. Why?
- In a motor there is no free lunch. High torque requires high current flow. Fuel cells don't produce electrons from hydrogen fast enough to get the torque you need for a motor to drive a vehicle of any size. And that would mean a vehicle that can drive me, my boys, and stuff every day from point A to B to C to A in stop-and-go city plus Interstate traffic. But store some of that energy (the way for example we store phosphocreatine in our muscles) and you will have what it takes to get off the line at the stoplight or onto the Interstate from the on ramp. And with the new lithium-ion batteries, that storage space for electrons doesn't have to be heavy.
- The energy density of hydrogen per unit volume is a big, big problem. We've been spoiled by driving cars off of long-chain aliphatic and aromatic compounds. Hydrogen's energy density is a fraction of that of gasoline - even in its most dense, liquid form. This means having the range you need (around 300 miles or hopefully more) is going to be compromised unless you find ways to make the entire assembly more efficient. Regen shines here - particularly for yours truly who drives in stop-and-go traffic every single morning. With the boys in their 2 private schools, I am the school bus. Every soccer dad and soccer mom is faced with the same issues.
- Once you have regen and batteries in place, you make getting some of that energy from the wall socket of your garage possible. The Tesla gets 100% of its considerable power and reasonable range from wall socket. GM has opted to use wall socket power as part of any number of combinations in its Chevy Volt concept vehicle. And of course electrons can be stored much more densely than hydrogen atoms.
Rich wrote:
People who look at them critically do not purchase them.
First, gasoline is relatively cheap now, so people keep buying the gas guzzling SUVs. It takes an inflation-adjusted gas price of something like what we saw in the 1970s to get people to change their habits.
Second, the technology is changing by the year. It's like the early days of the personal computer when they used to say "There are only 2 types of computers: experimental and obsolete." So people mostly are waiting until they get around to needing a vehicle. That's when they decisions will be made - one vehicle at a time.
Rich wrote:
when are you going to stop talking and start shopping?
I have this problem. It's those pesky Japanese engines. I have one Nissan and one Subaru engine with 100K each, and another Nissan engine with almost 200K, and they are all running fine. Given their dependability, the low cost of insurance, the low taxes, etc., it makes no sense for me to buy now. I'm just going to keep driving what I have until one of them breaks.
That was different with my American-made engines (4 Saturn engines in the same vehicle, and the engine in my Plymouth Sundance).
Also...
"People who look at them critically" will note that until recently, no hybrids were available in the kind of vehicle I drive. GM is the first, although they are using the heavy, clunky, old design batteries. I'll consider it when it's time. However by then, I'll probably be looking at a BluTec diesel (they finally cleaned up the US fuel), diesel hybrid, fuel cell/electric, or some other permutation.
These hybrids are like the rapid development in PCs when they first came out. There were the Radio Shack TRS-80s and Apple 2Cs and the various Z80-based machines, etc., etc. I was excited to see all of this, but waited. Then IBM came out with the Intell 8088-based machine. I jumped in with the first clone of an IBM PC (a Columbia). I held on to it until my dissertation was written and then some. Now I have 2 desktops and 2 laptops in the house.
Oh and I stayed on a normal phone line access to the Internet (no DSL) until Verizon brought fiberoptic into my neighborhood. I went from phone line to 30 MB access in one day.

(That allowed me to work from my home in Virginia rather than move to Boston where real estate is ridiculous. Now several in my Boston-based company are doing the same thing.)
There is a "right time" for each and every one of us. The techno-geeks don't mind spending extra money to be first. I love them, because they help pay for what I will buy in the next generation or two. And for some of us (in research) with the technology vision, we can anticipate where that sweet spot will be, and what it will look like.
- Bill